Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING TUESDAY 22 OCTOBER NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Wild Intent
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Chestnut Bomber 3 58.0 1 0.00 8.0 92 91 78 -14 2 Kudzu 2 56.5 2 0.20 0.0 79 104 104 +25 3 Wild Intent 3 57.0 3 4.00 8.0 90 90 90 +0 4 Skittles Skies 3 55.0 4 5.00 8.0 86 85 85 -1 5 Zip Code 3 60.0 5 5.40 8.0 96 95 95 -1 6 Fireburst 3 53.0 6 5.60 8.0 82 81 81 -1 7 Far Reaching 2 56.0 7 9.25 0.0 88 103 103 +15 99 Fushimi Inari 2 56.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 104 104 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chestnut Bomber | 92 | 90 | 78 | +12 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kudzu | 79 | 80 | 104 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Wild Intent Line | 90 | 110 | 90 | +20 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Skittles Skies | 86 | 96 | 85 | +11 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Zip Code | 96 | 77 | 95 | -18 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fireburst | 82 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Far Reaching | 88 | 63 | 103 | -40 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fushimi Inari | - | 53 | 104 | -51 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points