Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING TUESDAY 22 OCTOBER NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)

Line Horse
Wild Intent
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Chestnut Bomber      3    58.0    1    0.00     8.0   92    91           78    -14
2    Kudzu                2    56.5    2    0.20     0.0   79    104          104   +25
3    Wild Intent          3    57.0    3    4.00     8.0   90    90           90    +0
4    Skittles Skies       3    55.0    4    5.00     8.0   86    85           85    -1
5    Zip Code             3    60.0    5    5.40     8.0   96    95           95    -1
6    Fireburst            3    53.0    6    5.60     8.0   82    81           81    -1
7    Far Reaching         2    56.0    7    9.25     0.0   88    103          103   +15
99   Fushimi Inari        2    56.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     104          104   +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Chestnut Bomber 92 90 78 +12 8.0 -
2 Kudzu 79 80 104 -24 0.0 -
3 Wild Intent Line 90 110 90 +20 8.0
4 Skittles Skies 86 96 85 +11 8.0 -
5 Zip Code 96 77 95 -18 8.0 -
6 Fireburst 82 80 81 -1 8.0 -
7 Far Reaching 88 63 103 -40 0.0 -
99 Fushimi Inari - 53 104 -51 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points