Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Barney Mcgrew
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bluff On Bluff 3 55.5 1 0.00 8.5 71 74 74 +3 2 All About Al 7 59.5 2 0.20 0.0 79 99 99 +20 3 Fort Red 4 56.0 3 0.95 10.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Barney Mcgrew 4 56.0 4 1.25 10.0 72 72 72 +0 5 Across The Bow 3 56.0 5 1.35 8.5 72 75 75 +3 6 Shifting Path 2 60.0 6 1.75 5.5 80 89 89 +9 7 Elusive Winter 4 59.5 7 2.50 10.0 79 79 79 +0 8 Worldly 2 57.0 8 2.90 5.5 85 83 83 -2 9 Hear My Voice 2 56.5 9 5.90 5.5 73 82 82 +9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bluff On Bluff | 71 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | All About Al | 79 | 78 | 99 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fort Red | 72 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 10.0 | - | |
| 4 | Barney Mcgrew Line | 72 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 10.0 | ||
| 5 | Across The Bow | 72 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Shifting Path | 80 | 62 | 89 | -27 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Elusive Winter | 79 | 104 | 79 | +25 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Worldly | 85 | 78 | 83 | -5 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Hear My Voice | 73 | 54 | 82 | -28 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points