Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 76 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Vision To Achieve
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Jane's Vision 2 54.0 1 0.00 5.5 67 73 67 +0 2 Vision To Achieve 4 62.0 2 1.00 10.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Swiss Paradise 3 52.0 3 1.80 8.5 59 63 63 +4 4 Prankster 2 53.0 4 2.05 5.5 62 71 71 +9 5 Ayuwi Yuwi 2 56.0 5 2.10 5.5 79 77 77 -2 6 HereInAfter 4 58.0 6 3.20 10.0 72 72 72 +0 7 Hurricane Cat 2 56.0 7 3.35 5.5 79 77 77 -2 8 Sweet Julia 2 57.5 8 3.85 5.5 71 80 80 +9 9 Happy Analia 4 59.5 9 4.55 10.0 75 75 75 +0 10 Glamorz 3 56.0 10 6.15 8.5 79 71 71 -8 11 Million Voices 2 58.0 11 11.85 5.5 83 81 81 -2 12 Roy's T's 2 52.5 12 14.55 5.5 59 70 70 +11 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane's Vision | 67 | 65 | 67 | -2 | 5.5 | - | |
| 2 | Vision To Achieve Line | 80 | 87 | 80 | +7 | 10.0 | ||
| 3 | Swiss Paradise | 59 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Prankster | 62 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 5.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ayuwi Yuwi | 79 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | HereInAfter | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hurricane Cat | 79 | 76 | 77 | -1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sweet Julia | 71 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Happy Analia | 75 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 10 | Glamorz | 79 | 62 | 71 | -9 | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Million Voices | 83 | 77 | 81 | -4 | 5.5 | - | |
| 12 | Roy's T's | 59 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points