Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: ALLIED STEELRODE JAVA STAKES (Listed) (Open)
Line Horse
Explosive Bond
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Poets Warrior 5 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 96 108 102 +6 2 Explosive Bond 4 50.0 2 3.25 5.0 97 97 97 +0 3 Zeus 3 62.0 3 3.50 8.5 117 113 113 -4 4 Battleground 5 52.0 4 4.00 0.0 94 110 110 +16 5 Raiseahallelujah 7 56.0 5 7.00 0.0 103 116 116 +13 6 Marauding Horde 4 54.0 6 7.05 5.0 101 102 102 +1 7 Aragosta 3 60.0 7 8.70 8.5 113 107 107 -6 8 Nebraas 8 56.0 8 8.75 0.0 106 116 116 +10 9 None Other 5 55.5 9 19.25 0.0 111 115 115 +4 10 Scarlett Pimpernel 2 52.0 10 23.25 0.0 97 108 108 +11 11 Flying Bull 4 54.0 11 31.25 5.0 98 102 102 +4 12 Arumugam 6 54.0 12 39.25 0.0 97 112 112 +15 13 River Romeo 2 54.0 13 99.99 0.0 98 112 112 +14 99 Twin Turbo 4 52.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 98 98 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poets Warrior | 96 | 114 | 102 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Explosive Bond Line | 97 | 94 | 97 | -3 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Zeus | 117 | 117 | 113 | +4 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Battleground | 94 | 92 | 110 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Raiseahallelujah | 103 | 103 | 116 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Marauding Horde | 101 | 112 | 102 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Aragosta | 113 | 109 | 107 | +2 | 8.5 | - | |
| 8 | Nebraas | 106 | 101 | 116 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | None Other | 111 | 115 | 115 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Scarlett Pimpernel | 97 | 90 | 108 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flying Bull | 98 | 98 | 102 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Arumugam | 97 | 74 | 112 | -38 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | River Romeo | 98 | 94 | 112 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twin Turbo | - | 88 | 98 | -10 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points