Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 9 NOVEMBER FM 75 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Pretty Analia
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rattle Bag 6 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 73 69 73 +0 2 Destiny Of Fire 2 56.0 2 0.10 0.0 81 63 71 -10 3 Pretty Analia 5 52.5 3 1.00 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 52.0 4 2.80 7.0 70 43 60 -10 5 Streisand 3 57.5 5 3.50 7.0 84 53 74 -10 6 Princess Ilaria 5 59.0 6 3.70 0.0 73 70 70 -3 7 Secret Recipe 5 57.5 7 3.80 0.0 70 67 67 -3 8 Risky Business 3 60.0 8 4.10 7.0 75 58 65 -10 9 Trentino 2 52.0 9 4.90 0.0 57 55 55 -2 10 Vermacilli 3 52.0 10 4.95 7.0 55 41 45 -10 11 Grecian Palace 2 49.5 11 25.00 0.0 62 50 52 -10 99 Pretty In Pearls 3 57.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 51 51 +0 99 Coral Blaze 2 57.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rattle Bag | 73 | 71 | 73 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Destiny Of Fire | 81 | 96 | 71 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pretty Analia Line | 60 | 61 | 60 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Oh My Gucci Girl | 70 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Streisand | 84 | 86 | 74 | +12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Princess Ilaria | 73 | 79 | 70 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Secret Recipe | 70 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Risky Business | 75 | 75 | 65 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Trentino | 57 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Vermacilli | 55 | 54 | 45 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Grecian Palace | 62 | 62 | 52 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Pretty In Pearls | - | 56 | 51 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Coral Blaze | - | 90 | 65 | +25 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points