Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES CAPE D STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 64 & below)
Line Horse
Hang Out The Stars
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ozark 4 61.5 1 0.00 4.0 63 57 57 -6 2 Hang Out The Stars 5 55.5 2 0.30 0.0 58 58 58 +0 3 Dream Searcher 2 54.0 3 3.55 0.0 55 51 51 -4 4 United We Stand 3 51.5 4 4.30 7.0 51 31 41 -10 5 Mela Strength 3 61.5 5 4.60 7.0 64 51 54 -10 6 Summer Night City 5 57.0 6 5.60 0.0 60 56 56 -4 7 State Capitol 4 58.5 7 7.10 4.0 64 51 54 -10 8 City Of Port Louis 2 59.0 8 9.35 0.0 74 60 64 -10 9 De Vlugge 2 56.0 9 9.85 0.0 75 54 65 -10 10 Gold Index 3 61.5 10 13.10 7.0 64 51 54 -10 11 Flying Bomb 2 56.0 11 21.60 0.0 69 54 59 -10 99 Black Path 6 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 47 47 +0 99 Mothership 5 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 47 47 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ozark | 63 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hang Out The Stars Line | 58 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Dream Searcher | 55 | 87 | 51 | +36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | United We Stand | 51 | 50 | 41 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mela Strength | 64 | 63 | 54 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Summer Night City | 60 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | State Capitol | 64 | 55 | 54 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | City Of Port Louis | 74 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | De Vlugge | 75 | 85 | 65 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Gold Index | 64 | 53 | 54 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Flying Bomb | 69 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Black Path | - | 58 | 47 | +11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mothership | - | 50 | 47 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points