Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Bregardt
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Just Var 4 55.5 1 0.00 9.0 64 59 64 +0 2 Beaded Gown 3 54.5 2 0.25 7.5 57 60 60 +3 3 Bregardt 4 59.5 3 2.45 9.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Delphi Dancer 3 56.5 4 2.50 7.5 61 64 64 +3 5 Jet Cat 9 55.0 5 2.55 0.0 58 76 76 +18 6 Neerah 2 57.5 6 4.80 5.0 71 71 71 +0 7 Smashing 4 58.5 7 5.00 9.0 65 65 65 +0 8 Circus Lights 5 60.0 8 99.99 0.0 68 86 86 +18 99 In The Ether 6 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 99 Twice As Wild 6 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Fennec Fox 5 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 87 87 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Just Var | 64 | 83 | 64 | +19 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Beaded Gown | 57 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Bregardt Line | 67 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 9.0 | ||
| 4 | Delphi Dancer | 61 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Cat | 58 | 60 | 76 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Neerah | 71 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Smashing | 65 | 78 | 65 | +13 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Circus Lights | 68 | 64 | 86 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | In The Ether | - | 63 | 84 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Twice As Wild | - | 51 | 74 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fennec Fox | - | 64 | 87 | -23 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points