Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 25 MARCH MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Mesmerizing Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Storm Chaser         4    59.5    1    0.00     4.0   73    73           73    +0
2    Mesmerizing Moon     4    59.5    2    0.50     4.0   73    73           73    +0
3    Emperors Decree      4    58.0    3    1.25     4.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Life On Mars         4    59.0    4    2.75     4.0   77    72           72    -5
5    Brass Bell           8    58.0    5    4.75     0.0   70    78           78    +8
6    Bethel               6    56.0    6    4.85     0.0   74    74           74    +0
7    Radiant Love         5    60.0    7    6.10     0.0   74    82           82    +8
8    Interstate           5    54.5    8    6.15     0.0   63    71           71    +8
9    Bold Resolve         4    54.5    9    6.40     4.0   63    63           63    +0
10   Sanctity             4    52.0    10   6.50     4.0   58    58           58    +0
11   Toureiro             5    53.0    11   8.00     0.0   59    68           68    +9
12   Varsity Bourbon      6    61.5    12   8.75     0.0   77    85           85    +8
13   Soft Spot            3    60.0    13   13.50    3.5   79    75           75    -4
14   Persica              5    58.5    14   14.25    0.0   71    79           79    +8
15   Bravestarr           5    52.5    15   15.00    0.0   40    67           67    +27
16   March Preview        7    57.5    16   15.25    0.0   69    77           77    +8
17   Take The World       5    58.0    17   23.75    0.0   70    78           78    +8
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Storm Chaser 73 69 73 -4 4.0 -
2 Mesmerizing Moon Line 73 69 73 -4 4.0
3 Emperors Decree 70 66 70 -4 4.0 -
4 Life On Mars 77 87 72 +15 4.0 -
5 Brass Bell 70 55 78 -23 0.0 -
6 Bethel 74 76 74 +2 0.0 -
7 Radiant Love 74 69 82 -13 0.0 -
8 Interstate 63 56 71 -15 0.0 -
9 Bold Resolve 63 91 63 +28 4.0 -
10 Sanctity 58 61 58 +3 4.0 -
11 Toureiro 59 66 68 -2 0.0 -
12 Varsity Bourbon 77 74 85 -11 0.0 -
13 Soft Spot 79 69 75 -6 3.5 -
14 Persica 71 48 79 -31 0.0 -
15 Bravestarr 40 40 67 -27 0.0 -
16 March Preview 69 57 77 -20 0.0 -
17 Take The World 70 55 78 -23 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points