Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Honorable Member
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Safe Space 5 61.0 1 0.00 0.0 74 98 74 +0 2 Honorable Member 3 57.5 2 1.20 7.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Guerilla Warfare 3 60.0 3 1.40 7.0 86 85 85 -1 4 Play With Fire 4 59.0 4 5.40 4.0 70 86 86 +16 99 Whispers Of War (AU 7 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 94 94 +0 99 Potberrie 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 97 97 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Safe Space | 74 | 83 | 74 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Honorable Member Line | 81 | 88 | 81 | +7 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Guerilla Warfare | 86 | 75 | 85 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Play With Fire | 70 | 79 | 86 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Whispers Of War (AUS) | - | 64 | 94 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Potberrie | - | 105 | 97 | +8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points