Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Tipperary
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mocha Macaroon 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 68 86 70 +2 2 Exceedingly Glam 3 58.0 2 2.50 6.0 81 79 79 -2 3 Great Notion 3 58.0 3 3.25 6.0 - 79 79 +79 4 Tipperary 3 58.0 4 3.75 6.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Head To The Stars 3 55.5 5 5.00 6.0 - 72 72 +72 6 Lapis Lazuli 3 58.0 6 8.40 6.0 - 77 77 +77 7 Aftershock 3 58.0 7 8.50 6.0 - 77 77 +77 99 Mist In Ireland 3 58.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mocha Macaroon | 68 | 72 | 70 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Exceedingly Glam | 81 | 78 | 79 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Great Notion | - | 87 | 79 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Tipperary Line | 78 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 6.0 | ||
| 5 | Head To The Stars | - | - | 72 | -72 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lapis Lazuli | - | 59 | 77 | -18 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Aftershock | - | 57 | 77 | -20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mist In Ireland | - | 72 | 77 | -5 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points