Official NHA Assessment

Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

Line Horse
Serrano
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Lets Play Poker      3    60.0    1    0.00     6.0   74    86           78    +4
2    Beynac               2    58.0    2    1.00     0.0   77    98           98    +21
3    Serrano              3    58.0    3    2.90     6.0   84    84           84    +0
4    Chabal               3    58.0    4    4.00     6.0   -     83           83    +83
5    Count Huhtikuu       3    58.0    5    5.00     6.0   -     82           82    +82
6    Gold Rush Kid        2    58.0    6    6.00     0.0   76    94           94    +18
7    The Mightiest        3    55.0    7    6.05     6.0   -     76           76    +76
8    Inclusion            3    58.0    8    10.50    6.0   -     82           82    +82
9    Praetorian           3    58.0    9    16.25    6.0   -     82           82    +82
10   Pursuit Of Fame      2    58.0    10   16.50    0.0   73    94           94    +21
11   Stand Up             3    58.0    11   23.50    6.0   -     82           82    +82
12   Captain Snowball     2    58.0    12   35.50    0.0   61    94           94    +33
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lets Play Poker 74 78 78 ✓ Match 6.0 -
2 Beynac 77 90 98 -8 0.0 -
3 Serrano Line 84 75 84 -9 6.0
4 Chabal - 73 83 -10 6.0 -
5 Count Huhtikuu - 101 82 +19 6.0 -
6 Gold Rush Kid 76 69 94 -25 0.0 -
7 The Mightiest - 70 76 -6 6.0 -
8 Inclusion - 65 82 -17 6.0 -
9 Praetorian - 51 82 -31 6.0 -
10 Pursuit Of Fame 73 71 94 -23 0.0 -
11 Stand Up - 62 82 -20 6.0 -
12 Captain Snowball 61 56 94 -38 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points