Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Serrano
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lets Play Poker 3 60.0 1 0.00 6.0 74 86 78 +4 2 Beynac 2 58.0 2 1.00 0.0 77 98 98 +21 3 Serrano 3 58.0 3 2.90 6.0 84 84 84 +0 4 Chabal 3 58.0 4 4.00 6.0 - 83 83 +83 5 Count Huhtikuu 3 58.0 5 5.00 6.0 - 82 82 +82 6 Gold Rush Kid 2 58.0 6 6.00 0.0 76 94 94 +18 7 The Mightiest 3 55.0 7 6.05 6.0 - 76 76 +76 8 Inclusion 3 58.0 8 10.50 6.0 - 82 82 +82 9 Praetorian 3 58.0 9 16.25 6.0 - 82 82 +82 10 Pursuit Of Fame 2 58.0 10 16.50 0.0 73 94 94 +21 11 Stand Up 3 58.0 11 23.50 6.0 - 82 82 +82 12 Captain Snowball 2 58.0 12 35.50 0.0 61 94 94 +33 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lets Play Poker | 74 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Beynac | 77 | 90 | 98 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Serrano Line | 84 | 75 | 84 | -9 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Chabal | - | 73 | 83 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Count Huhtikuu | - | 101 | 82 | +19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gold Rush Kid | 76 | 69 | 94 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Mightiest | - | 70 | 76 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Inclusion | - | 65 | 82 | -17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Praetorian | - | 51 | 82 | -31 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Pursuit Of Fame | 73 | 71 | 94 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Stand Up | - | 62 | 82 | -20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Captain Snowball | 61 | 56 | 94 | -38 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points