Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 94 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Phutulicious
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Diani 5 62.0 1 0.00 0.0 98 105 98 +0 2 Kitchakal 5 56.0 2 0.05 0.0 86 93 93 +7 3 Phutulicious 3 55.5 3 0.65 6.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Sundance Kid 5 61.5 4 2.05 0.0 97 107 107 +10 5 Plaza Accord 2 53.0 5 2.55 0.0 79 89 89 +10 6 Imposing 2 52.5 6 2.95 0.0 82 88 88 +6 7 Neitherherenorther 3 58.0 7 4.00 6.0 90 86 86 -4 8 Bowie 7 57.0 8 4.80 0.0 88 95 95 +7 9 Shampompo Shampizi 7 62.5 9 5.30 0.0 99 106 106 +7 10 Master Josh 2 59.5 10 6.10 0.0 93 100 100 +7 11 Dynalley 2 56.5 11 6.50 0.0 87 94 94 +7 12 Sunshine Day 4 54.0 12 11.50 3.5 82 82 82 +0 99 Tobacconist 2 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 86 86 +0 99 Mr Master Starter 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 101 101 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Diani | 98 | 96 | 98 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kitchakal | 86 | 86 | 93 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Phutulicious Line | 85 | 74 | 85 | -11 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Sundance Kid | 97 | 96 | 107 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Plaza Accord | 79 | 84 | 89 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Imposing | 82 | 107 | 88 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Neitherherenorther | 90 | 90 | 86 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bowie | 88 | 82 | 95 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Shampompo Shampizi | 99 | 93 | 106 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Master Josh | 93 | 97 | 100 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dynalley | 87 | 82 | 94 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Sunshine Day | 82 | 69 | 82 | -13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Tobacconist | - | 81 | 86 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mr Master Starter | - | 97 | 101 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points