Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Barney Mcgrew
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Night Tiger          5    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   74    92           80    +6
2    Counter Attack       3    59.5    2    0.40     7.5   79    82           82    +3
3    Barney Mcgrew        4    56.0    3    0.50     9.0   72    72           72    +0
4    First Masterpiece    4    60.0    4    1.75     9.0   80    80           80    +0
5    In The Green Zone    3    59.0    5    2.25     7.5   88    81           81    -7
6    Mighty Mac           5    57.0    6    3.00     0.0   74    92           92    +18
7    Rattlesnake          3    57.5    7    3.20     7.5   85    78           78    -7
8    Shifting Path        2    60.0    8    4.45     5.0   80    88           88    +8
9    Bank Street          3    55.5    9    4.75     7.5   81    74           74    -7
10   Iconic Destination   5    60.5    10   11.75    0.0   81    99           99    +18
99   All About Al         7    60.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     99           99    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Night Tiger 74 67 80 -13 0.0 -
2 Counter Attack 79 67 82 -15 7.5 -
3 Barney Mcgrew Line 72 69 72 -3 9.0
4 First Masterpiece 80 86 80 +6 9.0 -
5 In The Green Zone 88 76 81 -5 7.5 -
6 Mighty Mac 74 52 92 -40 0.0 -
7 Rattlesnake 85 85 78 +7 7.5 -
8 Shifting Path 80 62 88 -26 5.0 -
9 Bank Street 81 67 74 -7 7.5 -
10 Iconic Destination 81 78 99 -21 0.0 -
99 All About Al - 78 99 -21 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points