Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 29 NOVEMBER MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Purple Operator
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Arturo 2 59.5 1 0.00 5.0 73 78 73 +0 2 Swiss Walt 4 57.5 2 0.10 9.0 69 66 66 -3 3 Charlie Malone 5 56.5 3 0.20 0.0 67 82 82 +15 4 Purple Operator 3 60.0 4 0.70 7.5 74 74 74 +0 5 Ravilious 3 58.0 5 2.70 7.5 80 70 70 -10 6 Holocene 4 60.0 6 3.20 9.0 74 71 71 -3 7 My Ami Beach 6 60.5 7 3.95 0.0 75 90 90 +15 8 Notorix 6 61.5 8 4.70 0.0 77 92 92 +15 9 Electric Storm 3 59.0 9 4.95 7.5 72 72 72 +0 10 Graduation Time 4 59.5 10 5.00 9.0 73 70 70 -3 11 A Bit Chilly 3 59.0 11 5.10 7.5 82 72 72 -10 12 Winning Captain 3 53.5 12 5.35 7.5 61 61 61 +0 12 No Greater Love 5 58.0 12 5.35 0.0 70 85 85 +15 14 Lucky Spirit 3 56.5 14 7.10 7.5 77 67 67 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arturo | 73 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Swiss Walt | 69 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Charlie Malone | 67 | 71 | 82 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Purple Operator Line | 74 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 7.5 | ||
| 5 | Ravilious | 80 | 81 | 70 | +11 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Holocene | 74 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | My Ami Beach | 75 | 70 | 90 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Notorix | 77 | 68 | 92 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Electric Storm | 72 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Graduation Time | 73 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | A Bit Chilly | 82 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 12 | Winning Captain | 61 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 7.5 | - | |
| 12 | No Greater Love | 70 | 68 | 85 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Lucky Spirit | 77 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points