Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: WORLD SPORTS BETTING BANTRY BAY STAKES (For 3-year-old Horses & older (Non-Black Type))
Line Horse
Future Variety
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ziyasha 2 62.0 1 0.00 5.0 113 121 119 +6 2 Meu Capitano 4 56.0 2 0.05 9.0 104 101 101 -3 3 Questioning 2 62.0 3 1.05 5.0 124 121 121 -3 4 Future Variety 4 62.0 4 2.55 9.0 113 113 113 +0 5 Outlaw King 2 58.0 5 3.05 5.0 106 113 113 +7 6 The Real Prince 3 56.0 6 4.05 7.5 101 104 104 +3 7 Teflon Man 4 56.0 7 6.55 9.0 103 101 101 -2 8 Waterberry Lane 6 60.0 8 6.85 0.0 112 127 127 +15 9 Cosmic Highway 3 62.0 9 7.25 7.5 117 116 116 -1 10 Bereave 4 62.0 10 7.55 9.0 118 113 113 -5 11 Al Muthana (AUS) 4 62.0 11 9.05 9.0 120 113 113 -7 12 Captain Arrow 2 56.0 12 9.45 5.0 102 109 109 +7 13 Silver Falcon 6 62.0 13 9.75 0.0 113 131 131 +18 14 The Abdicator (IRE) 4 54.0 14 10.75 9.0 98 97 97 -1 99 King Regent 3 62.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 116 116 +0 99 Cafe Culture 3 60.0 99 0.00 7.5 - 112 112 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ziyasha | 113 | 118 | 119 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Meu Capitano | 104 | 111 | 101 | +10 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Questioning | 124 | 127 | 121 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Future Variety Line | 113 | 116 | 113 | +3 | 9.0 | ||
| 5 | Outlaw King | 106 | 123 | 113 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Real Prince | 101 | 128 | 104 | +24 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Teflon Man | 103 | 106 | 101 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Waterberry Lane | 112 | 108 | 127 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cosmic Highway | 117 | 115 | 116 | -1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Bereave | 118 | 111 | 113 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Al Muthana (AUS) | 120 | 114 | 113 | +1 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Captain Arrow | 102 | 101 | 109 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Silver Falcon | 113 | 106 | 131 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | The Abdicator (IRE) | 98 | 94 | 97 | -3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | King Regent | - | 106 | 116 | -10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Cafe Culture | - | 118 | 112 | +6 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points