Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 24 MARCH MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Wondering Star
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ice Man Cometh 4 57.0 1 0.00 1.5 66 71 66 +0 2 Wondering Star 3 54.5 2 1.25 3.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Double Martini 4 54.0 3 2.50 1.5 60 67 67 +7 4 Secret Is Ours 4 59.0 4 4.50 1.5 75 75 75 +0 5 Silly Fella 4 52.0 5 4.75 1.5 51 61 61 +10 6 Twosidestoastory 3 55.5 6 5.50 3.0 69 65 65 -4 7 Ball Rolling 5 52.5 7 6.25 0.0 60 65 65 +5 8 Riccardo 7 55.0 8 9.50 0.0 62 70 70 +8 9 Cherokee Chief 5 52.0 9 12.50 0.0 49 64 64 +15 10 Bridge Of Spies 6 50.5 10 13.00 0.0 51 61 61 +10 11 My Kingdom 6 52.0 11 13.50 0.0 51 64 64 +13 12 Savage Love 3 53.0 12 22.50 3.0 64 60 60 -4 13 Sequoia 6 61.0 13 32.50 0.0 80 82 82 +2 14 Ancient Rome 4 54.5 14 99.99 1.5 61 66 66 +5 99 Catchthegreenlight 3 55.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ice Man Cometh | 66 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Wondering Star Line | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Double Martini | 60 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 4 | Secret Is Ours | 75 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 5 | Silly Fella | 51 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Twosidestoastory | 69 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ball Rolling | 60 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Riccardo | 62 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Cherokee Chief | 49 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bridge Of Spies | 51 | 48 | 61 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | My Kingdom | 51 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Savage Love | 64 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Sequoia | 80 | 99 | 82 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Ancient Rome | 61 | 59 | 66 | -7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Catchthegreenlight | - | 68 | 64 | +4 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points