Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 89 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Arlington Action
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Birthright 4 53.5 1 0.00 3.5 82 63 82 +0 2 Douglas Dragon 3 54.0 2 0.20 7.0 78 57 68 -10 3 Arlington Action 6 54.5 3 1.00 0.0 78 78 78 +0 4 Mount Darwin 3 60.0 4 3.75 7.0 90 71 80 -10 5 Supreme Dance 4 57.5 5 15.00 3.5 84 71 74 -10 6 Vesuvio 5 58.5 6 20.25 0.0 86 80 80 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birthright | 82 | 95 | 82 | +13 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Douglas Dragon | 78 | 89 | 68 | +21 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Arlington Action Line | 78 | 73 | 78 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Mount Darwin | 90 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Supreme Dance | 84 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Vesuvio | 86 | 85 | 80 | +5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points