Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: MOBILE BETTING VISIT www.trackandball.co.za FM 79 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Hot Strike
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Sea Eagle            3    49.0    1    0.00     3.0   71    51           71    +0
2    Hot Strike           7    53.5    2    0.05     0.0   66    66           66    +0
3    Aerial View          3    53.0    3    0.20     3.0   70    59           60    -10
4    Princess Anastasia   4    59.5    4    0.30     1.5   78    80           80    +2
5    Lucky Miss           3    59.5    5    1.50     3.0   84    75           75    -9
6    Twicethequality      4    59.5    6    1.90     1.5   83    78           78    -5
7    Conchita             4    59.5    7    2.30     1.5   78    77           77    -1
8    Rotunda              3    56.5    8    2.70     3.0   78    68           68    -10
9    Alfonse Baby         5    57.0    9    3.30     0.0   76    74           74    -2
10   Unconditional Love   3    58.5    10   6.70     3.0   85    70           75    -10
11   Owlette              4    48.0    11   11.70    1.5   60    52           52    -8
12   Bella Swan           3    58.0    12   13.10    3.0   81    69           71    -10
99   Lady Yusra           3    58.5    99   0.00     3.0   -     70           70    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sea Eagle 71 68 71 -3 3.0 -
2 Hot Strike Line 66 59 66 -7 0.0
3 Aerial View 70 82 60 +22 3.0 -
4 Princess Anastasia 78 90 80 +10 1.5 -
5 Lucky Miss 84 82 75 +7 3.0 -
6 Twicethequality 83 80 78 +2 1.5 -
7 Conchita 78 56 77 -21 1.5 -
8 Rotunda 78 83 68 +15 3.0 -
9 Alfonse Baby 76 69 74 -5 0.0 -
10 Unconditional Love 85 100 75 +25 3.0 -
11 Owlette 60 56 52 +4 1.5 -
12 Bella Swan 81 71 71 ✓ Match 3.0 -
99 Lady Yusra - 85 70 +15 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points