Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING MONDAY 16 DECEMBER FM 75 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
One Party
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fastnet Filly (IRE) 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 74 94 74 +0 2 Dancing Dora 6 52.0 2 1.25 0.0 58 79 79 +21 3 One Party 3 58.5 3 1.85 6.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Quasikat 3 58.5 4 2.60 6.0 80 80 80 +0 5 Twice As Wild 6 52.0 5 2.85 0.0 56 79 79 +23 6 Striking Angel 2 59.5 6 3.35 4.0 74 86 86 +12 7 Glawari 2 57.0 7 4.65 4.0 69 81 81 +12 8 Mix The Magic 3 52.0 8 6.75 6.0 55 67 67 +12 9 Juniper Green 4 58.5 9 7.75 7.0 72 78 78 +6 10 Inventrix 2 60.0 10 9.75 4.0 75 87 87 +12 11 Raining Rubies 5 58.5 11 11.25 0.0 72 92 92 +20 12 Seventeen Again 2 57.0 12 99.99 4.0 80 81 81 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fastnet Filly (IRE) | 74 | 94 | 74 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dancing Dora | 58 | 53 | 79 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Party Line | 80 | 75 | 80 | -5 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Quasikat | 80 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice As Wild | 56 | 51 | 79 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Striking Angel | 74 | 68 | 86 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Glawari | 69 | 65 | 81 | -16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mix The Magic | 55 | 52 | 67 | -15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Juniper Green | 72 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Inventrix | 75 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Raining Rubies | 72 | 75 | 92 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Seventeen Again | 80 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points