Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)

Line Horse
Okavango
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Ardabil              2    58.0    1    0.00     0.0   81    11           11    -70
2    Bombers In The Sky   3    58.0    2    0.20     7.0   78    -3           68    -10
3    Okavango             3    58.0    3    2.20     7.0   -     -            -     +0
4    Wood World           3    58.0    4    3.70     7.0   79    -2           69    -10
5    Dreamalittledream    3    60.0    5    3.80     7.0   66    2            56    -10
6    Heemstede            3    58.0    6    5.05     7.0   -     -3           -     +0
7    Jet A One            2    58.0    7    6.80     0.0   76    11           66    -10
8    Marine Merchant      3    58.0    8    7.20     7.0   82    -3           72    -10
9    Garden Sun           3    58.0    9    11.20    7.0   69    -3           59    -10
10   Fort Impreza         3    58.0    10   29.20    7.0   -     -3           -     +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ardabil 81 101 11 +90 0.0 -
2 Bombers In The Sky 78 84 68 +16 7.0 -
3 Okavango Line - 123 - +123 7.0
4 Wood World 79 74 69 +5 7.0 -
5 Dreamalittledream 66 66 56 +10 7.0 -
6 Heemstede - 89 - +89 7.0 -
7 Jet A One 76 69 66 +3 0.0 -
8 Marine Merchant 82 66 72 -6 7.0 -
9 Garden Sun 69 69 59 +10 7.0 -
10 Fort Impreza - 56 - +56 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points