Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Okavango
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ardabil 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 11 11 -70 2 Bombers In The Sky 3 58.0 2 0.20 7.0 78 -3 68 -10 3 Okavango 3 58.0 3 2.20 7.0 - - - +0 4 Wood World 3 58.0 4 3.70 7.0 79 -2 69 -10 5 Dreamalittledream 3 60.0 5 3.80 7.0 66 2 56 -10 6 Heemstede 3 58.0 6 5.05 7.0 - -3 - +0 7 Jet A One 2 58.0 7 6.80 0.0 76 11 66 -10 8 Marine Merchant 3 58.0 8 7.20 7.0 82 -3 72 -10 9 Garden Sun 3 58.0 9 11.20 7.0 69 -3 59 -10 10 Fort Impreza 3 58.0 10 29.20 7.0 - -3 - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ardabil | 81 | 101 | 11 | +90 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Bombers In The Sky | 78 | 84 | 68 | +16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Okavango Line | - | 123 | - | +123 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Wood World | 79 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dreamalittledream | 66 | 66 | 56 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Heemstede | - | 89 | - | +89 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jet A One | 76 | 69 | 66 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Marine Merchant | 82 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Garden Sun | 69 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fort Impreza | - | 56 | - | +56 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points