Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA FM 70 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Free In Seattle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flamboyant Flyer 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 71 87 71 +0 2 Play With Fire 4 59.5 2 0.50 3.5 70 93 93 +23 3 Silky Jet 4 57.0 3 2.40 3.5 65 85 85 +20 4 Free In Seattle 3 57.0 4 2.65 7.0 78 78 78 +0 5 Key Worker 3 59.0 5 2.95 7.0 82 81 81 -1 6 Cartagena 4 52.5 6 4.20 3.5 56 74 74 +18 7 Teo Torriatte 4 57.5 7 5.70 3.5 66 82 82 +16 8 Stormy Sunday 2 59.5 8 8.00 0.0 83 93 93 +10 9 Eye Catching 4 52.0 9 9.20 3.5 48 71 71 +23 10 Ruby Rebel 3 55.5 10 9.60 7.0 78 71 71 -7 99 Have A Party 3 57.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamboyant Flyer | 71 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Play With Fire | 70 | 79 | 93 | -14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Silky Jet | 65 | 61 | 85 | -24 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Free In Seattle Line | 78 | 89 | 78 | +11 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | Key Worker | 82 | 84 | 81 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cartagena | 56 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Teo Torriatte | 66 | 94 | 82 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Stormy Sunday | 83 | 82 | 93 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Eye Catching | 48 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Ruby Rebel | 78 | 80 | 71 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Have A Party | - | 64 | 74 | -10 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points