Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOLLOW GOLD CIRCLE ON FACEBOOK MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kimball O'Hara
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sweeper Keeper 4 57.0 1 0.00 3.0 68 57 68 +0 2 Ralph The Rascal 8 60.5 2 0.05 0.0 75 70 70 -5 3 Kimball O'Hara 2 58.5 3 0.30 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Brass Bell 8 52.5 4 2.00 0.0 57 57 57 +0 5 Heaven's Will 3 58.5 5 3.00 5.0 74 58 64 -10 6 Future Saint 4 55.5 6 3.50 3.0 65 55 55 -10 7 Lake Como 3 53.5 7 4.30 5.0 61 46 51 -10 8 Whispers Of War (AU 7 58.0 8 6.80 0.0 70 65 65 -5 9 Rhythm 2 59.5 9 8.10 0.0 73 68 68 -5 99 Ultra Quick 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Teatime Tipple 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweeper Keeper | 68 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ralph The Rascal | 75 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Kimball O'Hara Line | 71 | 61 | 71 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Brass Bell | 57 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Heaven's Will | 74 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Future Saint | 65 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Lake Como | 61 | 61 | 51 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Whispers Of War (AUS) | 70 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rhythm | 73 | 67 | 68 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ultra Quick | - | 71 | 69 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Teatime Tipple | - | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points