Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SOETENDAL ESTATE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Scottish Links
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bounceback 2 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 83 79 79 -4 2 Scottish Links 2 57.5 2 0.75 0.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Victor Hugo 3 59.5 3 4.00 6.0 - 64 64 +64 4 Ariovistus 3 59.5 4 6.75 6.0 79 63 69 -10 5 Typically French 4 53.5 5 6.95 3.0 48 57 57 +9 6 Pai Mei 2 51.0 6 7.45 0.0 63 58 58 -5 7 White Seahorse 2 55.5 7 14.20 0.0 70 67 67 -3 8 The Postman 2 52.5 8 19.20 0.0 54 61 61 +7 9 Thunder Downunder 3 52.5 9 19.95 6.0 60 49 50 -10 10 First In Town 2 52.0 10 99.99 0.0 49 60 60 +11 99 Secret Passage 3 56.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 57 57 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bounceback | 83 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Scottish Links Line | 75 | 70 | 75 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Victor Hugo | - | 79 | 64 | +15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ariovistus | 79 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Typically French | 48 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pai Mei | 63 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | White Seahorse | 70 | 81 | 67 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Postman | 54 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Thunder Downunder | 60 | 72 | 50 | +22 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | First In Town | 49 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Secret Passage | - | 77 | 57 | +20 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points