Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FLAMBOYANT STAKES (Listed) (For Fillies and Mares at Weight for Age)
Line Horse
Bevies Delight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mary's Greenlight 4 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 103 88 88 -15 2 Perilla 5 60.0 2 0.10 0.0 96 94 94 -2 3 Miss Platina 4 60.0 3 2.00 3.0 86 91 91 +5 4 Celtic Beauty 4 60.0 4 2.30 3.0 104 90 94 -10 5 Bevies Delight 5 60.0 5 3.00 0.0 96 96 96 +0 6 Mascherina 4 60.0 6 4.50 3.0 95 88 88 -7 7 Safe And Sound 3 54.0 7 5.30 6.0 95 70 85 -10 8 Stormy Choice 4 60.0 8 7.60 3.0 85 88 88 +3 9 Sign Of Fate 4 60.0 9 7.90 3.0 86 88 88 +2 10 Green Valkyrie 4 60.0 10 13.10 3.0 74 88 88 +14 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mary's Greenlight | 103 | 103 | 88 | +15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Perilla | 96 | 89 | 94 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Miss Platina | 86 | 92 | 91 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Celtic Beauty | 104 | 96 | 94 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bevies Delight Line | 96 | 101 | 96 | +5 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Mascherina | 95 | 99 | 88 | +11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Safe And Sound | 95 | 92 | 85 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Stormy Choice | 85 | 81 | 88 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sign Of Fate | 86 | 74 | 88 | -14 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Green Valkyrie | 74 | 74 | 88 | -14 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points