Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING MONDAY 30 DECEMBER MAIDEN PLATE (For Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
He's A Gaul
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 All About Love 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 74 70 70 -4 2 Kinnikinnik 2 58.0 2 2.50 0.0 75 74 74 -1 3 He's A Gaul 3 60.0 3 2.75 7.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Fearless Badger 4 60.0 4 5.75 3.5 57 67 67 +10 5 Quelimane 2 58.0 5 10.00 0.0 76 70 70 -6 6 Madeira Cliffs 3 60.0 6 10.25 7.0 59 60 60 +1 7 Cheap Thrills 4 56.5 7 10.75 3.5 51 60 60 +9 8 Come On You Spurs 2 60.0 8 15.50 0.0 51 74 74 +23 9 Visionary Dreamer 3 58.0 9 26.25 7.0 60 56 56 -4 10 Heart Of Thieves 4 56.0 10 26.50 3.5 48 59 59 +11 99 Bomber Bay 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | All About Love | 74 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kinnikinnik | 75 | 73 | 74 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | He's A Gaul Line | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Fearless Badger | 57 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Quelimane | 76 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Madeira Cliffs | 59 | 57 | 60 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Cheap Thrills | 51 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Come On You Spurs | 51 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Visionary Dreamer | 60 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Heart Of Thieves | 48 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bomber Bay | - | 60 | 70 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points