Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)

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Line Horse
Elusive Winter
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Bluff On Bluff       3    57.0    1    0.00     6.0   74    76           76    +2
2    The Us Of A          3    58.5    2    1.50     6.0   77    79           79    +2
3    Elusive Winter       4    61.0    3    2.25     7.0   82    82           82    +0
4    Fort Red             4    56.0    4    2.65     7.0   72    72           72    +0
5    All About Al         7    60.5    5    2.95     0.0   81    95           95    +14
6    Impact Investor      2    56.5    6    6.70     4.0   81    79           79    -2
7    Night Tiger          5    58.0    7    7.20     0.0   76    90           90    +14
8    Walk With Me         3    60.5    8    7.40     6.0   89    83           83    -6
9    Go It Alone          4    57.0    9    8.40     7.0   74    74           74    +0
10   Sail To The Moon     4    60.0    10   9.65     7.0   80    80           80    +0
11   Mighty Mac           5    56.5    11   9.95     0.0   73    87           87    +14
12   The Proprietor       3    52.0    12   99.99    6.0   63    66           66    +3
13   Rafa Bay             2    57.0    13   99.99    4.0   82    80           80    -2
99   The Mask             2    61.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     89           89    +0
99   One Liner            2    59.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     85           85    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Bluff On Bluff 74 80 76 +4 6.0 -
2 The Us Of A 77 104 79 +25 6.0 -
3 Elusive Winter Line 82 104 82 +22 7.0
4 Fort Red 72 66 72 -6 7.0 -
5 All About Al 81 78 95 -17 0.0 -
6 Impact Investor 81 77 79 -2 4.0 -
7 Night Tiger 76 67 90 -23 0.0 -
8 Walk With Me 89 82 83 -1 6.0 -
9 Go It Alone 74 69 74 -5 7.0 -
10 Sail To The Moon 80 67 80 -13 7.0 -
11 Mighty Mac 73 52 87 -35 0.0 -
12 The Proprietor 63 63 66 -3 6.0 -
13 Rafa Bay 82 96 80 +16 4.0 -
99 The Mask - 84 89 -5 4.0 -
99 One Liner - 88 85 +3 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points