Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)

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Line Horse
Spirited Flight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    On Board             3    59.5    1    0.00     5.0   65    55           55    -10
2    Siberian Winter      3    59.0    2    0.70     5.0   74    54           64    -10
3    Spirited Flight      5    58.0    3    1.40     0.0   62    62           62    +0
4    Mamas Baby           4    58.5    4    1.80     6.0   63    51           53    -10
5    Edge Of Tomorrow     3    60.0    5    2.40     5.0   73    56           63    -10
6    Quentasia            4    55.0    6    2.80     6.0   56    44           46    -10
7    Drive By             6    57.5    7    3.50     0.0   61    61           61    +0
8    Dawn Surprise        4    61.0    8    4.50     6.0   68    56           58    -10
9    Harley's Fate        2    58.0    9    5.20     3.5   70    55           60    -10
10   Swiss Paradise       3    56.0    10   7.30     5.0   58    48           48    -10
11   Copacabana           4    60.5    11   9.20     6.0   67    55           57    -10
99   Head Girl            5    59.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 On Board 65 66 55 +11 5.0 -
2 Siberian Winter 74 79 64 +15 5.0 -
3 Spirited Flight Line 62 61 62 -1 0.0
4 Mamas Baby 63 65 53 +12 6.0 -
5 Edge Of Tomorrow 73 63 63 ✓ Match 5.0 -
6 Quentasia 56 58 46 +12 6.0 -
7 Drive By 61 68 61 +7 0.0 -
8 Dawn Surprise 68 79 58 +21 6.0 -
9 Harley's Fate 70 67 60 +7 3.5 -
10 Swiss Paradise 58 60 48 +12 5.0 -
11 Copacabana 67 74 57 +17 6.0 -
99 Head Girl - 62 64 -2 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points