Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: CARTIER PADDOCK STAKES (WFA) (Grade 1) (For Fillies & Mares at Weight For Age)
Line Horse
Red Palace
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Double Grand Slam 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 119 116 116 -3 2 Red Palace 2 59.5 2 1.50 0.0 119 119 119 +0 3 Rascova 2 59.5 3 2.50 0.0 119 118 118 -1 4 Rainbow Lorikeet 2 59.5 4 4.25 0.0 105 117 117 +12 5 Gold Poker Game 2 60.0 5 6.25 0.0 107 117 117 +10 6 Saartjie 3 60.0 6 7.75 6.0 118 105 108 -10 7 Silver Sanctuary 4 59.5 7 7.95 3.0 117 110 110 -7 8 Little Suzie 3 54.0 8 9.95 6.0 107 93 97 -10 9 World Of Alice 3 54.0 9 10.25 6.0 108 93 98 -10 10 Knockout 2 59.5 10 11.25 0.0 103 116 116 +13 11 Lavender Bay 4 59.5 11 14.00 3.0 71 110 110 +39 99 Whistle The Tune 2 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 105 105 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Double Grand Slam | 119 | 122 | 116 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Red Palace Line | 119 | 119 | 119 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Rascova | 119 | 122 | 118 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Rainbow Lorikeet | 105 | 115 | 117 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gold Poker Game | 107 | 105 | 117 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Saartjie | 118 | 113 | 108 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Silver Sanctuary | 117 | 117 | 110 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Little Suzie | 107 | 108 | 97 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | World Of Alice | 108 | 104 | 98 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Knockout | 103 | 101 | 116 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lavender Bay | 71 | 95 | 110 | -15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Whistle The Tune | - | 116 | 105 | +11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points