Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cymric
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Radicchio 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 95 108 95 +0 2 Cymric 3 58.0 2 0.75 4.0 101 101 101 +0 3 Moonlight Trader 2 58.0 3 1.15 0.0 101 109 109 +8 4 Deception Pass 4 55.0 4 2.15 2.5 86 97 97 +11 5 The Playboy Bomber 4 53.0 5 2.85 2.5 82 92 92 +10 6 Silver Tudor 5 60.5 6 3.45 0.0 97 111 111 +14 7 Willow Express 7 55.0 7 4.75 0.0 86 99 99 +13 8 The Front Line 4 57.0 8 11.25 2.5 90 98 98 +8 9 The Africa House 4 57.0 9 11.50 2.5 93 98 98 +5 99 Buster Barnes 2 61.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 112 112 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Radicchio | 95 | 100 | 95 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cymric Line | 101 | 99 | 101 | -2 | 4.0 | ||
| 3 | Moonlight Trader | 101 | 101 | 109 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Deception Pass | 86 | 77 | 97 | -20 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | The Playboy Bomber | 82 | 88 | 92 | -4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Tudor | 97 | 99 | 111 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Willow Express | 86 | 82 | 99 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Front Line | 90 | 82 | 98 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | The Africa House | 93 | 93 | 98 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Buster Barnes | - | 101 | 112 | -11 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points