Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: SOUTH AFRICA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Who Blinked
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Who Blinked 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 80 80 80 +0 2 Our Lady Fate 3 57.5 2 0.90 5.0 76 75 75 -1 3 One Armed Bandit 3 60.0 3 1.60 5.0 75 80 80 +5 4 Zyakala 4 60.0 4 3.90 6.0 68 78 78 +10 5 Firelighter 3 58.5 5 4.30 5.0 75 77 77 +2 6 Vila Vicosa 3 56.0 6 4.60 5.0 55 72 72 +17 7 Serpentine Fire 3 60.0 7 5.60 5.0 - 80 80 +80 8 Zena Rose 3 57.5 8 6.60 5.0 76 75 75 -1 9 Half Sovereign 3 60.0 9 10.60 5.0 - 80 80 +80 10 Global Drumbeat 3 60.0 10 12.60 5.0 - 80 80 +80 11 Run Forest Run 3 60.0 11 16.60 5.0 - 80 80 +80 12 Jailhouse Cat 3 60.0 12 17.30 5.0 - 80 80 +80 13 Mind How You Go 3 60.0 13 18.00 5.0 - 80 80 +80 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Who Blinked Line | 80 | 82 | 80 | +2 | 5.0 | ||
| 2 | Our Lady Fate | 76 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Armed Bandit | 75 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Zyakala | 68 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Firelighter | 75 | 63 | 77 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vila Vicosa | 55 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Serpentine Fire | - | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Zena Rose | 76 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Half Sovereign | - | 51 | 80 | -29 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Global Drumbeat | - | 65 | 80 | -15 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Run Forest Run | - | 75 | 80 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Jailhouse Cat | - | 46 | 80 | -34 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mind How You Go | - | 59 | 80 | -21 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points