Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Spy Story
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Legendary 2 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 78 82 82 +4 2 Chieftain's Shield 4 58.5 2 0.40 2.5 66 81 81 +15 3 Oklahoma Twister 4 60.0 3 1.20 2.5 64 83 83 +19 4 Spy Story 3 59.0 4 3.70 5.0 73 73 73 +0 5 Spirito Selvaggio 2 59.0 5 5.30 0.0 78 82 82 +4 6 Gun Barrel 3 59.0 6 6.50 5.0 - 72 72 +72 7 Parabellum 3 59.0 7 8.00 5.0 69 72 72 +3 8 Stop The Traffic 4 60.0 8 9.50 2.5 52 79 79 +27 9 Ragamuffin 2 60.0 9 10.75 0.0 52 84 84 +32 10 Blue Crystal 3 59.0 10 13.75 5.0 72 72 72 +0 11 Lord Of The North 3 59.0 11 14.50 5.0 - 72 72 +72 99 Peak Predator 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legendary | 78 | 69 | 82 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Chieftain's Shield | 66 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Oklahoma Twister | 64 | 71 | 83 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Spy Story Line | 73 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Spirito Selvaggio | 78 | 77 | 82 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gun Barrel | - | 68 | 72 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Parabellum | 69 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Stop The Traffic | 52 | 65 | 79 | -14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ragamuffin | 52 | 45 | 84 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Blue Crystal | 72 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Lord Of The North | - | 48 | 72 | -24 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Peak Predator | - | 57 | 79 | -22 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points