Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SEAFOOD AND JAZZ FESTIVAL 2 APRIL FM 90 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Elusive Current
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fromheretoeternity 4 58.5 1 0.00 1.5 87 84 87 +0 2 Humdinger 3 54.0 2 0.60 3.0 83 77 77 -6 3 Elusive Current 4 60.0 3 1.50 1.5 90 90 90 +0 4 Kayla's Champ 5 59.0 4 2.90 0.0 93 90 90 -3 5 Golden Spoon 4 55.5 5 3.00 1.5 81 80 80 -1 6 Magical Flight 4 59.5 6 3.25 1.5 89 88 88 -1 7 Dance Lesson 4 53.5 7 5.50 1.5 77 74 74 -3 8 Say When 4 58.5 8 6.75 1.5 87 84 84 -3 9 Prairie Falcon 3 54.5 9 8.50 3.0 85 73 75 -10 10 Rock You 5 54.5 10 8.55 0.0 79 79 79 +0 11 Sweet And Spicy 4 53.5 11 9.75 1.5 80 74 74 -6 12 Hollywoodbound 3 59.0 12 11.50 3.0 94 82 84 -10 13 Dancing Arabian 4 53.0 13 15.75 1.5 76 73 73 -3 99 Princess Philippa 3 53.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fromheretoeternity | 87 | 92 | 87 | +5 | 1.5 | - | |
| 2 | Humdinger | 83 | 119 | 77 | +42 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Elusive Current Line | 90 | 85 | 90 | -5 | 1.5 | ||
| 4 | Kayla's Champ | 93 | 77 | 90 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Golden Spoon | 81 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 1.5 | - | |
| 6 | Magical Flight | 89 | 85 | 88 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Dance Lesson | 77 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Say When | 87 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 9 | Prairie Falcon | 85 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Rock You | 79 | 75 | 79 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sweet And Spicy | 80 | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Hollywoodbound | 94 | 101 | 84 | +17 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Dancing Arabian | 76 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 1.5 | - | |
| 99 | Princess Philippa | - | 85 | 71 | +14 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points