Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: BOOK FOR GUINEAS DAY 1 FEBRUARY MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Quatermain
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 On Target 3 56.0 1 0.00 6.0 84 58 84 +0 2 Quatermain 2 60.5 2 2.30 0.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Greenhouse 3 54.0 3 2.40 6.0 80 56 70 -10 4 Guy Alexander 3 56.0 4 3.40 6.0 72 59 62 -10 5 Supreme Dance 4 58.5 5 3.60 3.0 82 70 72 -10 6 Luthuli 5 60.5 6 4.60 0.0 81 79 79 -2 7 Eiger Sanction 3 61.0 7 5.90 6.0 83 68 73 -10 8 Circle Of Grace 4 55.0 8 8.60 3.0 74 62 64 -10 99 One More Star 3 57.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Kudzu 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Professor Snape 2 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 77 77 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | On Target | 84 | 95 | 84 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Quatermain Line | 81 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Greenhouse | 80 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Guy Alexander | 72 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Supreme Dance | 82 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Luthuli | 81 | 74 | 79 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Eiger Sanction | 83 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Circle Of Grace | 74 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | One More Star | - | 87 | 60 | +27 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kudzu | - | 80 | 79 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Professor Snape | - | 68 | 77 | -9 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points