Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 28 JANUARY MR 65 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sail The Sky
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Written In Stone 9 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 62 74 62 +0 2 Time For Charity 5 56.0 2 2.25 0.0 57 69 69 +12 3 Sail The Sky 4 60.0 3 3.00 6.0 65 65 65 +0 4 Breath Of Magic 4 58.5 4 3.60 6.0 62 62 62 +0 5 Dancing Dora 6 57.0 5 3.65 0.0 59 71 71 +12 6 Inafix 4 58.5 6 3.95 6.0 62 62 62 +0 7 Can't Catch Me 5 53.5 7 4.35 0.0 52 64 64 +12 8 Jet Cat 9 55.5 8 6.10 0.0 56 68 68 +12 9 Samthewiseman 5 58.0 9 7.70 0.0 61 73 73 +12 10 Si Veloce 4 51.5 10 17.70 6.0 53 48 48 -5 11 Miss Predator 3 59.5 11 17.80 5.0 71 66 66 -5 99 Thymetoshine 5 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Dark Tide 5 54.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Oriental Bouquet 4 59.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 63 63 +0 99 Perini Palace 4 57.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Written In Stone | 62 | 67 | 62 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Time For Charity | 57 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sail The Sky Line | 65 | 62 | 65 | -3 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Breath Of Magic | 62 | 60 | 62 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dancing Dora | 59 | 53 | 71 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Inafix | 62 | 69 | 62 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Can't Catch Me | 52 | 58 | 64 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jet Cat | 56 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Samthewiseman | 61 | 52 | 73 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Si Veloce | 53 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Miss Predator | 71 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Thymetoshine | - | 51 | 63 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dark Tide | - | 53 | 65 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Oriental Bouquet | - | 56 | 63 | -7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Perini Palace | - | 56 | 60 | -4 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points