Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: WORLD SPORTS BETTING CAPE TOWN MET (Grade 1) (Open to horses at Weight For Age)
Line Horse
Oriental Charm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Eight On Eighteen 2 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 115 119 119 +4 2 Oriental Charm 3 59.5 2 0.50 6.0 125 125 125 +0 3 Montien 3 60.0 3 0.90 6.0 129 125 125 -4 4 See It Again 2 60.0 4 1.10 0.0 131 137 137 +6 5 Rascallion 5 60.0 5 1.20 0.0 122 137 137 +15 6 Red Palace 2 57.0 6 1.25 0.0 119 131 131 +12 7 Pacaya 3 60.0 7 1.75 6.0 116 124 124 +8 8 Future Swing 2 60.0 8 2.15 0.0 114 136 136 +22 9 Master Redoute 3 60.0 9 2.65 6.0 117 123 123 +6 10 Atticus Finch 5 60.0 10 3.15 0.0 121 134 134 +13 11 Royal Aussie 2 60.0 11 4.90 0.0 124 131 131 +7 12 Zapatillas 3 60.0 12 5.90 6.0 119 119 119 +0 13 Baratheon 3 60.0 13 6.20 6.0 106 119 119 +13 14 Magic Verse 3 59.5 14 6.30 6.0 114 118 118 +4 15 Litigation 3 60.0 15 12.30 6.0 113 119 119 +6 16 Al Muthana (AUS) 4 60.0 16 12.50 3.0 116 125 125 +9 99 Green With Envy 2 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 130 130 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eight On Eighteen | 115 | 129 | 119 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Oriental Charm Line | 125 | 127 | 125 | +2 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Montien | 129 | 122 | 125 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | See It Again | 131 | 130 | 137 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rascallion | 122 | 124 | 137 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Red Palace | 119 | 119 | 131 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pacaya | 116 | 115 | 124 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Future Swing | 114 | 116 | 136 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Master Redoute | 117 | 113 | 123 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Atticus Finch | 121 | 127 | 134 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Royal Aussie | 124 | 120 | 131 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Zapatillas | 119 | 116 | 119 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Baratheon | 106 | 106 | 119 | -13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 14 | Magic Verse | 114 | 115 | 118 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 15 | Litigation | 113 | 113 | 119 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 16 | Al Muthana (AUS) | 116 | 114 | 125 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Green With Envy | - | 127 | 130 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points