Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sutherland
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Night Bomber 4 55.5 1 0.00 6.0 87 87 87 +0 2 Fastnet Filly (IRE) 5 52.0 2 0.70 0.0 79 92 92 +13 3 Edward Rye (ARG) 3 55.5 3 1.10 5.0 87 89 89 +2 4 Sutherland 4 53.0 4 1.20 6.0 82 82 82 +0 5 Chieftain 3 58.0 5 3.50 5.0 99 94 94 -5 6 Danilo Danilovitch 3 57.5 6 4.30 5.0 91 93 93 +2 7 Biofarmer 4 60.5 7 6.40 6.0 97 97 97 +0 8 Cian The Conqueror 5 55.5 8 6.80 0.0 87 99 99 +12 9 Ensuing 2 55.0 9 6.90 3.5 86 91 91 +5 10 Wyzeact 4 56.5 10 9.40 6.0 89 89 89 +0 11 Midnight Gem 4 54.0 11 13.90 6.0 83 84 84 +1 12 After The Rain 4 61.0 12 16.90 6.0 98 98 98 +0 99 Rollwiththepunches 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 104 104 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Night Bomber | 87 | 96 | 87 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fastnet Filly (IRE) | 79 | 94 | 92 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Edward Rye (ARG) | 87 | 87 | 89 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sutherland Line | 82 | 85 | 82 | +3 | 6.0 | ||
| 5 | Chieftain | 99 | 106 | 94 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Danilo Danilovitch | 91 | 89 | 93 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Biofarmer | 97 | 78 | 97 | -19 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cian The Conqueror | 87 | 81 | 99 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ensuing | 86 | 87 | 91 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Wyzeact | 89 | 86 | 89 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Midnight Gem | 83 | 81 | 84 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | After The Rain | 98 | 98 | 98 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rollwiththepunches | - | 90 | 104 | -14 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points