Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: 4RACING.TV MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden (F&M) R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Fire Alarm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Meursault 3 59.0 1 0.00 4.0 70 71 71 +1 2 De Vlugge 2 59.0 2 1.25 0.0 71 83 83 +12 3 Fire Alarm 3 59.0 3 2.50 4.0 73 73 73 +0 4 Laugh Till I Cry 3 59.0 4 4.75 4.0 65 71 71 +6 5 Global Scene 2 59.0 5 4.85 0.0 72 79 79 +7 6 Oh Mandy 3 59.0 6 7.10 4.0 68 71 71 +3 7 Canford's Beauty 3 59.0 7 10.85 4.0 - 71 71 +71 8 Poise Panache 6 60.0 8 12.60 0.0 42 81 81 +39 9 To Be Free 3 59.0 9 13.10 4.0 61 71 71 +10 10 Sydney's Horizon 3 59.0 10 15.35 4.0 - 71 71 +71 11 Miss Valentyna 3 59.0 11 20.60 4.0 - 71 71 +71 12 Trillion Dreams 5 60.0 12 24.85 0.0 40 81 81 +41 13 Cloudburst 3 59.0 13 26.10 4.0 - 71 71 +71 14 Flying Solo 3 59.0 14 99.99 4.0 66 71 71 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meursault | 70 | 76 | 71 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | De Vlugge | 71 | 85 | 83 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fire Alarm Line | 73 | 70 | 73 | -3 | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Laugh Till I Cry | 65 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Global Scene | 72 | 61 | 79 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Oh Mandy | 68 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Canford's Beauty | - | 51 | 71 | -20 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Poise Panache | 42 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | To Be Free | 61 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sydney's Horizon | - | 53 | 71 | -18 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Miss Valentyna | - | 35 | 71 | -36 | 4.0 | - | |
| 12 | Trillion Dreams | 40 | 45 | 81 | -36 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Cloudburst | - | 50 | 71 | -21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 14 | Flying Solo | 66 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points