Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING TUESDAY 4 FEBRUARY MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
El Romiachi
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ardabil 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 86 73 86 +0 2 Pedro 6 59.0 2 1.00 0.0 80 81 81 +1 3 El Romiachi 8 62.0 3 1.50 0.0 86 86 86 +0 4 Central City 5 60.0 4 2.50 0.0 82 81 81 -1 5 Final Edition 5 58.0 5 2.75 0.0 78 77 77 -1 6 Silver Tycoon 7 56.0 6 2.85 0.0 74 73 73 -1 7 Dynalley 2 62.5 7 2.90 0.0 87 86 86 -1 8 Jack In The Green 2 58.0 8 3.15 0.0 78 77 77 -1 9 Brenden James 6 62.0 9 4.40 0.0 86 83 83 -3 10 Makhachev 2 60.5 10 5.90 0.0 83 80 80 -3 11 Kingdom Of Heaven 5 61.0 11 9.65 0.0 84 81 81 -3 12 Four Jacks 4 57.5 12 13.90 2.5 77 69 69 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ardabil | 86 | 101 | 86 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pedro | 80 | 72 | 81 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | El Romiachi Line | 86 | 77 | 86 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Central City | 82 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Final Edition | 78 | 78 | 77 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Tycoon | 74 | 74 | 73 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Dynalley | 87 | 82 | 86 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jack In The Green | 78 | 80 | 77 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Brenden James | 86 | 98 | 83 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Makhachev | 83 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kingdom Of Heaven | 84 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Four Jacks | 77 | 65 | 69 | -4 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points