Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Future Of Energy
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Guarding The Wall 4 57.0 1 0.00 2.0 61 56 61 +0 2 Noble Warrior 4 52.0 2 2.00 2.0 52 49 49 -3 3 Future Of Energy 5 55.0 3 2.75 0.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Coral Creek 3 60.5 4 6.00 3.0 76 61 66 -10 5 King's Sailor 3 59.0 5 6.10 3.0 73 58 63 -10 6 Russian Empire 5 56.5 6 7.85 0.0 61 59 59 -2 7 Flash Lightning 4 60.0 7 7.95 2.0 68 62 62 -6 8 Magnum Fire 7 56.5 8 8.05 0.0 61 59 59 -2 9 Axel Collins 5 54.5 9 9.30 0.0 57 55 55 -2 10 Winning Captain 3 54.0 10 9.55 3.0 56 48 48 -8 11 Sand Bank 2 58.5 11 13.05 0.0 65 63 63 -2 12 Lazy Guy 4 57.0 12 16.30 2.0 61 56 56 -5 13 Gunsmoke 3 60.0 13 21.30 3.0 68 60 60 -8 14 Nikes Ray Of Light 3 59.5 14 43.55 3.0 74 59 64 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarding The Wall | 61 | 67 | 61 | +6 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Noble Warrior | 52 | 54 | 49 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Future Of Energy Line | 58 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Coral Creek | 76 | 73 | 66 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | King's Sailor | 73 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Russian Empire | 61 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flash Lightning | 68 | 69 | 62 | +7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Magnum Fire | 61 | 59 | 59 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Axel Collins | 57 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Winning Captain | 56 | 54 | 48 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sand Bank | 65 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Lazy Guy | 61 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 2.0 | - | |
| 13 | Gunsmoke | 68 | 68 | 60 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Nikes Ray Of Light | 74 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points