Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TABGOLD SCORE 10 CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Numzaan
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mac Hardy 4 55.5 1 0.00 2.0 57 53 53 -4 2 Numzaan 2 58.5 2 0.25 0.0 63 63 63 +0 3 Eventidor 6 60.5 3 0.85 0.0 70 71 71 +1 4 Future Saint 4 58.0 4 2.35 2.0 62 60 60 -2 5 Run To Rio 4 60.0 5 4.25 2.0 66 63 63 -3 6 Victor Rail 5 56.5 6 5.05 0.0 59 59 59 +0 7 Bally Magic 6 59.0 7 8.85 0.0 64 64 64 +0 8 Indecent Proposal 4 56.5 8 10.75 2.0 67 55 57 -10 9 Forest Jump 8 57.5 9 10.95 0.0 66 61 61 -5 10 Lou Lou The Legend 3 53.5 10 18.05 3.0 53 47 47 -6 11 Strictly Mambo 3 51.0 11 99.99 3.0 53 42 43 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mac Hardy | 57 | 64 | 53 | +11 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Numzaan Line | 63 | 79 | 63 | +16 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Eventidor | 70 | 89 | 71 | +18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Future Saint | 62 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Run To Rio | 66 | 71 | 63 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Victor Rail | 59 | 61 | 59 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bally Magic | 64 | 60 | 64 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Indecent Proposal | 67 | 65 | 57 | +8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Forest Jump | 66 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lou Lou The Legend | 53 | 59 | 47 | +12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Strictly Mambo | 53 | 53 | 43 | +10 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points