Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Spy Story
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Spy Story 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 75 75 75 +0 2 Apache Chief 4 60.0 2 0.80 2.0 71 83 83 +12 3 Huehuetenango 3 60.0 3 1.10 4.0 - 79 79 +79 4 Snow Moon 3 60.0 4 1.20 4.0 75 79 79 +4 5 Chieftain's Shield 4 60.0 5 1.70 2.0 68 82 82 +14 6 Spirito Selvaggio 2 60.0 6 4.20 0.0 77 84 84 +7 7 Tibbott Bourke 4 60.0 7 4.80 2.0 66 79 79 +13 8 Peak Predator 4 60.0 8 5.10 2.0 61 79 79 +18 9 Brigham 3 60.0 9 6.35 4.0 - 75 75 +75 10 Lord Of The North 3 58.5 10 12.60 4.0 - 72 72 +72 11 Sovereign Crown 3 60.0 11 14.40 4.0 70 75 75 +5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spy Story Line | 75 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 4.0 | ||
| 2 | Apache Chief | 71 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 2.0 | - | |
| 3 | Huehuetenango | - | 84 | 79 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Snow Moon | 75 | 68 | 79 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Chieftain's Shield | 68 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Spirito Selvaggio | 77 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tibbott Bourke | 66 | 51 | 79 | -28 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Peak Predator | 61 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Brigham | - | 74 | 75 | -1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lord Of The North | - | 48 | 72 | -24 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Sovereign Crown | 70 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points