Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Cheerful Charlie B
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Haarlem 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.0 63 64 64 +1 2 Asinantanga 3 60.0 2 0.05 4.0 70 64 64 -6 3 Master Incolor 3 60.0 3 7.30 4.0 70 64 64 -6 4 Cheerful Charlie B 3 60.0 4 7.40 4.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Vila Foz 3 60.0 5 9.90 4.0 43 64 64 +21 6 Lord Quinn 4 60.0 6 12.40 2.0 53 68 68 +15 7 Always Shining 3 60.0 7 18.65 4.0 75 64 65 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haarlem | 63 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Asinantanga | 70 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Master Incolor | 70 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Cheerful Charlie B Line | 64 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 4.0 | ||
| 5 | Vila Foz | 43 | 57 | 64 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lord Quinn | 53 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Always Shining | 75 | 76 | 65 | +11 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points