Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Red William
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grandiosa 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 73 71 73 +0 2 Master Forester 3 61.5 2 0.10 4.0 85 67 75 -10 3 Pisces 2 52.0 3 2.85 0.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Red William 5 57.5 4 3.10 0.0 69 69 69 +0 5 Potent Captain 4 56.5 5 3.60 2.0 67 62 62 -5 6 Silver Tycoon 7 60.0 6 5.35 0.0 74 72 72 -2 7 Thunder Master 6 61.0 7 5.45 0.0 76 74 74 -2 8 Gold Gunner 4 60.5 8 6.45 2.0 75 69 69 -6 9 Sound Of The Sea 3 58.5 9 6.70 4.0 79 61 69 -10 10 Alado's Pride 7 62.0 10 9.95 0.0 78 76 76 -2 11 Barzalona 6 56.0 11 10.05 0.0 74 64 64 -10 12 Timbavati River 3 62.5 12 10.15 4.0 79 69 69 -10 13 Erimitage 4 55.5 13 11.15 2.0 65 59 59 -6 14 Lanciafiamme 3 57.5 14 12.90 4.0 77 59 67 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grandiosa | 73 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Master Forester | 85 | 90 | 75 | +15 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pisces | 58 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Red William Line | 69 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Potent Captain | 67 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Silver Tycoon | 74 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Thunder Master | 76 | 80 | 74 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Gold Gunner | 75 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sound Of The Sea | 79 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Alado's Pride | 78 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Barzalona | 74 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Timbavati River | 79 | 79 | 69 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 13 | Erimitage | 65 | 62 | 59 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 14 | Lanciafiamme | 77 | 102 | 67 | +35 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points