Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: HOPES & DREAMS STUD MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Konnichiwa
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bel Canto Dream 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 77 71 71 -6 2 Konnichiwa 2 60.0 2 2.25 0.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Dawn's Early Light 3 60.0 3 6.75 3.0 69 71 71 +2 4 Moment Of Truth 3 60.0 4 6.95 3.0 - 71 71 +71 5 Charlie Bucket 3 60.0 5 7.00 3.0 - 71 71 +71 6 Mr Fox 3 60.0 6 7.30 3.0 73 71 71 -2 7 Smart Horse 3 60.0 7 8.05 3.0 - 71 71 +71 8 Green Okra 2 60.0 8 8.10 0.0 71 77 77 +6 9 Beautiful Winter 3 60.0 9 8.40 3.0 73 71 71 -2 10 Twilight Warrior 3 60.0 10 9.65 3.0 - 71 71 +71 11 Silver Opposition 3 60.0 11 13.40 3.0 - 71 71 +71 12 Castle Crag 2 60.0 12 17.15 0.0 - 77 77 +77 99 Victor Hugo 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bel Canto Dream | 77 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Konnichiwa Line | 80 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Dawn's Early Light | 69 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Moment Of Truth | - | 64 | 71 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Charlie Bucket | - | 69 | 71 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mr Fox | 73 | 99 | 71 | +28 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Smart Horse | - | 64 | 71 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Green Okra | 71 | 66 | 77 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Beautiful Winter | 73 | 68 | 71 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Twilight Warrior | - | 68 | 71 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Silver Opposition | - | 49 | 71 | -22 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Castle Crag | - | 50 | 77 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Victor Hugo | - | 79 | 71 | +8 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points