Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 80)
Line Horse
Forward Motion
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Two G's 3 56.5 1 0.00 3.0 80 77 77 -3 2 Forward Motion 3 59.5 2 1.30 3.0 86 86 86 +0 3 Regeneration 3 62.0 3 3.20 3.0 91 90 90 -1 4 Greenlitealltheway 2 56.5 4 4.70 0.0 80 83 83 +3 5 Happy Fortune 3 57.0 5 5.50 3.0 81 78 78 -3 6 Ethereal View 3 56.5 6 5.80 3.0 80 77 77 -3 7 Sunshine Day 4 58.5 7 7.70 2.0 77 83 83 +6 8 Poursomesugaronme 5 57.0 8 8.20 0.0 74 84 84 +10 9 Grand Occasion 2 53.5 9 8.45 0.0 77 77 77 +0 10 Nellie Melba 4 58.0 10 9.55 2.0 76 82 82 +6 99 West Side Story 3 56.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 76 76 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Two G's | 80 | 89 | 77 | +12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Forward Motion Line | 86 | 98 | 86 | +12 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Regeneration | 91 | 105 | 90 | +15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Greenlitealltheway | 80 | 96 | 83 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Happy Fortune | 81 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ethereal View | 80 | 68 | 77 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sunshine Day | 77 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Poursomesugaronme | 74 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Grand Occasion | 77 | 85 | 77 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Nellie Melba | 76 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | West Side Story | - | 70 | 76 | -6 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points