Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GREYVILLE CONVENTION CENTRE FM 83 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Lady Macbeth
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Purple Nkanyezi 5 59.0 1 0.00 0.0 81 93 81 +0 2 Lady Macbeth 3 52.5 2 1.80 3.5 73 73 73 +0 3 Dubawi Princess 4 59.5 3 1.85 4.0 82 86 86 +4 4 Nikiya 6 58.0 4 1.90 0.0 82 91 91 +9 5 Pelargonium 3 58.0 5 1.95 3.5 84 84 84 +0 6 Captain Ariano 4 58.5 6 2.70 4.0 80 84 84 +4 7 Irish Belle 4 59.0 7 4.60 4.0 81 85 85 +4 8 Ancient Epic 3 52.0 8 4.90 3.5 80 72 72 -8 9 Goddess Of Light 3 56.5 9 8.60 3.5 81 81 81 +0 10 Purple Moon's Up 4 60.0 10 16.90 4.0 83 87 87 +4 11 Travelling Light 5 60.0 11 19.80 0.0 83 95 95 +12 99 Toto 4 57.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purple Nkanyezi | 81 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lady Macbeth Line | 73 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Dubawi Princess | 82 | 82 | 86 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Nikiya | 82 | 75 | 91 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pelargonium | 84 | 84 | 84 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Captain Ariano | 80 | 63 | 84 | -21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Irish Belle | 81 | 80 | 85 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ancient Epic | 80 | 88 | 72 | +16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Goddess Of Light | 81 | 63 | 81 | -18 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Purple Moon's Up | 83 | 83 | 87 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Travelling Light | 83 | 80 | 95 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Toto | - | 79 | 81 | -2 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points