Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 27 FEBRUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Romeo's Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Poplar Park 3 57.0 1 0.00 6.0 78 50 78 +0 2 Coffeeberry 5 57.0 2 0.05 0.0 74 62 64 -10 3 Ideal Future 6 56.0 3 0.25 0.0 72 60 62 -10 4 Romeo's Magic 7 60.0 4 2.65 0.0 72 72 72 +0 5 Mo Ment 4 56.5 5 4.15 3.0 66 57 57 -9 6 Japanese Maple 4 54.5 6 5.40 3.0 62 51 52 -10 7 Teo Torriatte 4 55.5 7 5.90 3.0 64 53 54 -10 8 Royal Mazarin 4 60.0 8 8.90 3.0 72 62 62 -10 9 Ultimissimo 3 55.0 9 10.00 6.0 74 46 64 -10 10 Spirit In The Wind 4 55.0 10 10.50 3.0 63 52 53 -10 11 Angel's Wish 6 55.0 11 10.70 0.0 62 58 58 -4 12 Nuclear Force 5 58.0 12 12.80 0.0 68 64 64 -4 13 Guy Alexander 3 60.0 13 14.00 6.0 72 56 62 -10 14 Only A Poet 3 57.5 14 21.75 6.0 68 51 58 -10 15 Eye Catching 4 52.0 15 35.00 3.0 48 46 46 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poplar Park | 78 | 87 | 78 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Coffeeberry | 74 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ideal Future | 72 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Romeo's Magic Line | 72 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Mo Ment | 66 | 93 | 57 | +36 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Japanese Maple | 62 | 56 | 52 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Teo Torriatte | 64 | 94 | 54 | +40 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Royal Mazarin | 72 | 70 | 62 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ultimissimo | 74 | 70 | 64 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Spirit In The Wind | 63 | 60 | 53 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Angel's Wish | 62 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Nuclear Force | 68 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Guy Alexander | 72 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 14 | Only A Poet | 68 | 59 | 58 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 15 | Eye Catching | 48 | 48 | 46 | +2 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points