Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING THURSDAY 27 FEBRUARY MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Romeo's Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Poplar Park          3    57.0    1    0.00     6.0   78    50           78    +0
2    Coffeeberry          5    57.0    2    0.05     0.0   74    62           64    -10
3    Ideal Future         6    56.0    3    0.25     0.0   72    60           62    -10
4    Romeo's Magic        7    60.0    4    2.65     0.0   72    72           72    +0
5    Mo Ment              4    56.5    5    4.15     3.0   66    57           57    -9
6    Japanese Maple       4    54.5    6    5.40     3.0   62    51           52    -10
7    Teo Torriatte        4    55.5    7    5.90     3.0   64    53           54    -10
8    Royal Mazarin        4    60.0    8    8.90     3.0   72    62           62    -10
9    Ultimissimo          3    55.0    9    10.00    6.0   74    46           64    -10
10   Spirit In The Wind   4    55.0    10   10.50    3.0   63    52           53    -10
11   Angel's Wish         6    55.0    11   10.70    0.0   62    58           58    -4
12   Nuclear Force        5    58.0    12   12.80    0.0   68    64           64    -4
13   Guy Alexander        3    60.0    13   14.00    6.0   72    56           62    -10
14   Only A Poet          3    57.5    14   21.75    6.0   68    51           58    -10
15   Eye Catching         4    52.0    15   35.00    3.0   48    46           46    -2
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Poplar Park 78 87 78 +9 6.0 -
2 Coffeeberry 74 72 64 +8 0.0 -
3 Ideal Future 72 72 62 +10 0.0 -
4 Romeo's Magic Line 72 73 72 +1 0.0
5 Mo Ment 66 93 57 +36 3.0 -
6 Japanese Maple 62 56 52 +4 3.0 -
7 Teo Torriatte 64 94 54 +40 3.0 -
8 Royal Mazarin 72 70 62 +8 3.0 -
9 Ultimissimo 74 70 64 +6 6.0 -
10 Spirit In The Wind 63 60 53 +7 3.0 -
11 Angel's Wish 62 54 58 -4 0.0 -
12 Nuclear Force 68 61 64 -3 0.0 -
13 Guy Alexander 72 72 62 +10 6.0 -
14 Only A Poet 68 59 58 +1 6.0 -
15 Eye Catching 48 48 46 +2 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points