Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE B STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares with a nett rating of 96 & below)

Line Horse
Blue Holly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    First Masterpiece    4    54.0    1    0.00     5.0   81    81           81    +0
2    Artiste              2    58.5    2    0.40     3.0   94    94           94    +0
3    Blue Holly           4    57.0    3    1.65     5.0   87    87           87    +0
4    Miss Marguerite      5    61.5    4    2.40     0.0   96    106          106   +10
5    Kyalami Girl         2    61.5    5    2.80     3.0   95    100          100   +5
6    Japanese Rose        3    57.0    6    4.05     4.5   86    88           88    +2
7    Peace Of Mind        3    51.0    7    5.55     4.5   81    76           76    -5
8    Sahara Cat           3    58.5    8    11.80    4.5   94    91           91    -3
9    Golden Tatjana       4    57.5    9    13.55    5.0   87    88           88    +1
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 First Masterpiece 81 86 81 +5 5.0 -
2 Artiste 94 90 94 -4 3.0 -
3 Blue Holly Line 87 85 87 -2 5.0
4 Miss Marguerite 96 91 106 -15 0.0 -
5 Kyalami Girl 95 88 100 -12 3.0 -
6 Japanese Rose 86 80 88 -8 4.5 -
7 Peace Of Mind 81 74 76 -2 4.5 -
8 Sahara Cat 94 79 91 -12 4.5 -
9 Golden Tatjana 87 67 88 -21 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points