Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE B STAKES (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares with a nett rating of 96 & below)
Line Horse
Blue Holly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 First Masterpiece 4 54.0 1 0.00 5.0 81 81 81 +0 2 Artiste 2 58.5 2 0.40 3.0 94 94 94 +0 3 Blue Holly 4 57.0 3 1.65 5.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Miss Marguerite 5 61.5 4 2.40 0.0 96 106 106 +10 5 Kyalami Girl 2 61.5 5 2.80 3.0 95 100 100 +5 6 Japanese Rose 3 57.0 6 4.05 4.5 86 88 88 +2 7 Peace Of Mind 3 51.0 7 5.55 4.5 81 76 76 -5 8 Sahara Cat 3 58.5 8 11.80 4.5 94 91 91 -3 9 Golden Tatjana 4 57.5 9 13.55 5.0 87 88 88 +1 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | First Masterpiece | 81 | 86 | 81 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Artiste | 94 | 90 | 94 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Blue Holly Line | 87 | 85 | 87 | -2 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Miss Marguerite | 96 | 91 | 106 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Kyalami Girl | 95 | 88 | 100 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Japanese Rose | 86 | 80 | 88 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Peace Of Mind | 81 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Sahara Cat | 94 | 79 | 91 | -12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Golden Tatjana | 87 | 67 | 88 | -21 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points