Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Valerias Dream
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sweetie Darling 2 58.0 1 0.00 3.0 80 77 80 +0 2 Articuno 2 60.5 2 0.75 3.0 79 82 82 +3 3 Valerias Dream 3 57.5 3 3.50 4.5 73 73 73 +0 4 Enchanting Lady 2 56.5 4 4.00 3.0 71 74 74 +3 5 My Ami Beach 6 59.5 5 4.10 0.0 77 86 86 +9 6 Lady Luck 4 53.5 6 4.60 5.0 65 64 64 -1 7 Free World 3 54.0 7 4.85 4.5 66 66 66 +0 8 Ella's Delight 2 57.0 8 5.35 3.0 72 75 75 +3 9 Strange Magic 5 60.0 9 6.60 0.0 78 87 87 +9 10 Bytheliteofthemoon 4 57.0 10 8.85 5.0 72 71 71 -1 11 Fire Glow 4 56.0 11 9.35 5.0 70 69 69 -1 12 Holly's View 2 54.0 12 13.10 3.0 66 69 69 +3 99 Million Reasons 3 54.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 66 66 +0 99 Jambo Sana 2 56.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweetie Darling | 80 | 100 | 80 | +20 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Articuno | 79 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Valerias Dream Line | 73 | 77 | 73 | +4 | 4.5 | ||
| 4 | Enchanting Lady | 71 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | My Ami Beach | 77 | 70 | 86 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Luck | 65 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Free World | 66 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ella's Delight | 72 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Strange Magic | 78 | 69 | 87 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bytheliteofthemoon | 72 | 70 | 71 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Fire Glow | 70 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Holly's View | 66 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Million Reasons | - | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Jambo Sana | - | 74 | 74 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points