Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Polar World
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 La Folie Douce 3 61.0 1 0.00 2.5 86 82 86 +0 2 Polar World 3 57.0 2 0.75 2.5 78 78 78 +0 3 Going Up 3 60.5 3 0.80 2.5 85 85 85 +0 4 Seeking Peace 3 57.0 4 2.05 2.5 78 77 77 -1 5 Apollo Moon 3 54.0 5 2.55 2.5 71 70 70 -1 6 Jet For Time 3 56.5 6 4.55 2.5 77 73 73 -4 7 Hammie's Fan 7 52.0 7 5.55 0.0 56 69 69 +13 8 Safe To Assume (AUS 4 54.5 8 7.80 1.5 67 71 71 +4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Folie Douce | 86 | 88 | 86 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Polar World Line | 78 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 2.5 | ||
| 3 | Going Up | 85 | 110 | 85 | +25 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Seeking Peace | 78 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Apollo Moon | 71 | 63 | 70 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Jet For Time | 77 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Hammie's Fan | 56 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Safe To Assume (AUS) | 67 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points